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Price sensitivity (Van Westendorp)

The four price questions, turned into four cumulative curves whose intersections give the indifference price, the optimal price point and the range of acceptable prices. Measures perceived value - not demand.

What it needs

The intuition

Van Westendorp asks four questions about price - at what price is it too cheap to trust, cheap, expensive, and too expensive to consider - and plots the cumulative answers. Where the curves cross gives a range of defensible prices. It is cheap, fast and widely used, and it measures stated attitudes to a price rather than willingness to pay, which is a real limitation and not a fixable one.

When to use it

Early pricing work on something new, where there is no sales history and no competitor to anchor on. It is quick, it needs no design, and it gives a range to start from.

Where the estimator comes from

Four cumulative curves are built from the four questions: the shares finding the product too cheap and cheap are plotted DECREASING in price, and expensive and too expensive INCREASING. Four intersections follow. The point of marginal cheapness is where "too cheap" meets "expensive"; the point of marginal expensiveness is where "cheap" meets "too expensive"; between them lies the range of acceptable prices. The OPTIMAL PRICE POINT is where "too cheap" meets "too expensive" - the price minimising the share who reject it outright in either direction - and the INDIFFERENCE PRICE is where "cheap" meets "expensive", often read as the price the median respondent considers normal.

The model

\text{OPP}:\ F_{\text{too cheap}}(p)=1-F_{\text{too expensive}}(p),\qquad \text{IDP}:\ F_{\text{cheap}}(p)=1-F_{\text{expensive}}(p)

What it assumes

Statistical properties

How to read the output

A worked reading

536 usable respondents of 600 give a point of marginal cheapness of 660.08 and a point of marginal expensiveness of 940.44, so the range of acceptable prices spans 660 to 940. The optimal price point falls at 742.88 and the indifference price at 830.62. Look at the shape of that rather than the digits: the acceptable range is 280 wide on a product priced around 750, so it is more than a third of the price itself, and the two headline numbers sit 88 apart inside it. Quoting 742.88 as "the optimal price" to two decimals implies a precision the method cannot support - these are intersections of four hand-drawn cumulative curves, and moving any one of them by a few respondents moves the crossing point by more than a currency unit. The honest output is the band, with the optimal point marked inside it.

Symptom → diagnosis → what to do

If you see thisIt meansDo this
Curves not crossingInconsistent answers or too few respondentsScreen for monotonicity first
A very wide acceptable rangeLittle consensus, or a heterogeneous sampleSegment before pricing
Optimal price above the point of marginal expensivenessImpossible orderingA data or plotting error
Many non-monotonic respondentsThe question was not understoodReport the screen-out rate
Range far from the current market priceUnfamiliarity or a hypothetical biasValidate against actual prices
Being asked for a revenue forecastThe method cannot produce oneUse Gabor-Granger or conjoint

Common mistakes

Where to read this properly

See also

Conjoint analysis, which prices attributes within a purchase decision. Drivers analysis, for what people value beyond price.

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